Organised crime outlook Sweden

A method for and assessment of likely future trends in organised crime in the EU

A method for and assessment of likely future trends in organised crime in the EU.

This is a report presenting a case study which has formed part of a larger project, financed by the 2004 AGIS programme of the European Commission. It had the objective of developing a risk-based methodology for the analysis of the long-term threat from organised crime.

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Risk-based methodology

There has since a few years back been an agreement around the need for introducing a risk-based methodology in the situational reports on organised crime that each EU Member State is obliged to send to Europol annually. These reports have up until now been largely descriptive, and it has thus been difficult to extract the implications for the development of criminal policy in the EU.

The expectation is that the methodology that has been proposed in this project will contribute to a more proactive and strategic focus in the situational reports on organised crime in the future.